Us Election Odds Australia
In the US, it’s illegal to bet on elections but in Australia, political bets have traditionally been seen as a “novelty”, says Dr Sally Gainsbury, Director of the Gambling, Treatment. TRUMP vs BIDEN - Get the latest odds & betting markets on the US elections with TAB. Who will win the 2020 Election betting with TAB allows punters to bet on some of the biggest elections in the US and globally. 1 minute to join Australia's #1 betting site and place your bet on the big day.
- Us Election Odds Australia Sportsbet
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- 2020 Us Presidential Election Odds Australia
- Us Election Odds Australia 2019
Here are the exact US Election odds, in real time:
Back, Lay and Trade on the world’s biggest betting market. Use the Betfair Exchange.
MArket movements
There have been plenty of fluctuations in the US Election odds during an insane 2020. As Covid-19 was starting to spread aggresively through the United States, Joe Biden was trading at a high of $36 in February.
Since becoming the presumed Democratic nominee in early March, Biden no longer traded above $4.00.
Donald Trump, on the other hand, was a dominant favourite in February. Trading at $1.65, before drifting as 2020 took hold. Covid-19, Black Lives Matters, and other domestic challenges, pushed the President out to underdog status from June.
More recently, Trump has floated around $3 and is expected to start at those odds, or longer, before the votes are counted.
US Election Tips
The most popular political prediction website in the US is FiveThirtyEight.
They have a Model, that’s updated daily, which gives Joe Biden an 89% chance of winning the Election.
That converts to odds of $1.12.
Our favourite resource has been the host of articles we’ve read from full time political gambler, Paul Krishnamurty.
Long ago, when Biden’s odds were larger, he recommended Backing Biden to win the Election, and backing Donald Trump to win Florida. It was effectively a hedging strategy, where both options can still win.
Today, we got this final quote from him:
Biden at $1.50 is a historic opportunity.
He’s also great value in all six of the electoral college handicap markets.
These targets are much better value than individual states, because they have multiple paths to win and allow for the odd reversal. Win Florida or Texas, and I expect Biden will land all six, up to the -140.5 band.
Paul thinks that Biden will comprehensively win.
Tavis Rendell, our other expert, gives Trump more hope than many full time political traders. However, Biden is still the value at the current odds.
conclusion
Joe Biden provides a historic betting opportunity.
The polling data and prediction models make him a 9 in 10 chance of winning, yet the betting odds say he is two in three.
The political experts believe the market is held up by recreational money and Trump’s previous win.
But 2020 looks even harder than 2016. You can see that in the polls and the swing state graphs.
Us Election Odds Australia Sportsbet
Biden just has too many states within reach and looks tremendous value in the current market.
Final US Election Tips
BACK — Joe Biden at $1.50
Electoral College Vote Handicap -140.5
BACK — Joe Biden -140.5 at $2.82
Pennsylvania
BACK — Democrats at $1.53
Georgia Election Odds
Alaska
BACK — Democrats at $9.40
Minnesota
BACK — Republicans at $4.80
The best odds for the US Election are at Betfair. Join the home of political markets NOW.
Extra Resources
Predicted electoral college map
From 270ToWin:
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